P-value For Trend Research Articles

Malaria cases in China acquired through international travel, 2013-2022.

Despite the World Health Organisation certifying China malaria-free in 2021, the risk of local transmission caused by imported malaria cases remains a significant clinical and public health issue. It is necessary to present the changing trends of malaria in China and discuss the role of travel medicine services in consolidating malaria elimination. This study systematically reviewed articles and reports related to human malaria from 2013 to 2022 published in international and Chinese databases. Data on malaria (i.e. number of cases, Plasmodium spp., diagnostic method, country of acquisition, provinces with high risk of re-introduction and transmission) were collected and synthesised, then summarised using descriptive statistics. Overall, 24 758 cases of malaria (>99.5% laboratory confirmed, > 99.2% imported, 0.5% fatal) were reported in China from 2013 to 2022, with a downward trend over the years (4128 cases in 2013 compared to 843 cases in 2022; χ2 trend p-value = 0.005). The last locally acquired case was reported in 2017. P. falciparum (65.5%) was the most common species identified, followed by P. vivax (20.9%) and P. ovale (10.0%). Two Pheidole knowlesi cases were also identified in 2014 and 2017 in returned travellers from Malaysia and Indonesia, respectively. The most common countries of malaria acquisition were Ghana, Angola, and Myanmar. P. vivax was mainly detected in returned travellers from Myanmar, while P. falciparum and P. ovale were detected in travellers from Sub-Saharan Africa. Imported cases were mainly reported in Yunnan, Jiangsu, Sichuan, Guangxi, Shandong, Zhejiang, and Henan provinces, where large numbers of Chinese people travel overseas for work. Returned travellers from malaria-endemic countries pose a significant risk of malaria re-introduction to China. Travel medicine should be strengthened to improve the capacity and accessibility of both pre- and post-travel services, including malaria prophylaxis and prompt diagnosis of illness in returned travellers.

Differential associations between abnormal cardiac left ventricular geometry types and cerebral white matter disease

ObjectivesReduced cardiac outflow due to left ventricular hypertrophy has been suggested as a potential risk factor for development of cerebral white matter disease. Our study aimed to examine the correlation between left ventricular geometry and white matter disease volume to establish a clearer understanding of their relationship, as it is currently not well-established. MethodsConsecutive patients from 2016 to 2021 who were ≥18 years and underwent echocardiography, cardiac MRI, and brain MRI within one year were included. Four categories of left ventricular geometry were defined based on left ventricular mass index and relative wall thickness on echocardiography. White matter disease volume was quantified using an automated algorithm applied to axial T2 FLAIR images and compared across left ventricular geometry categories. ResultsWe identified 112 patients of which 34.8 % had normal left ventricular geometry, 20.5 % had eccentric hypertrophy, 21.4 % had concentric remodeling, and 23.2 % had concentric hypertrophy. White matter disease volume was highest in patients with concentric hypertrophy and concentric remodeling, compared to eccentric hypertrophy and normal morphology with a trend-P value of 0.028. Patients with higher relative wall thickness had higher white matter disease volume (10.73 ± 10.29 cc vs 5.89 ± 6.46 cc, P = 0.003), compared to those with normal relative wall thickness. ConclusionOur results showed that abnormal left ventricular geometry is associated with higher white matter disease burden, particularly among those with abnormal relative wall thickness. Future studies are needed to explore causative relationships and potential therapeutic options that may mediate the adverse left ventricular remodeling and its effect in slowing white matter disease progression.

Less Favorable Nutri-Score Consumption Ratings Are Prospectively Associated with Abdominal Obesity in Older Adults.

Nutri-Score is a front-of-package (FOP) labeling designed to assist consumers in selecting healthier options at the point of purchase and ultimately enhance their health. This study aims to evaluate the association between the Nutri-Score system and incident abdominal obesity (AO) in community-dwelling older adults. A prospective cohort of 628 individuals aged ≥ 60 were recruited in Spain between 2008-2010 and were reexamined between 2015-2017. Dietary intake was evaluated utilizing a validated computerized dietary history. Food was categorized based on the Nutri-Score system into five levels from A (green, representing the best quality) to E (red, representing the poorest quality). A five-color Nutri-Score dietary index (5-CNS DI) in g/day/kg was calculated for each participant. AO was determined by a waist circumference (WC) of ≥102 cm for men and ≥88 cm for women. Logistic regression models were adjusted for the main potential confounders. During a mean six-year follow-up, 184 incident cases of AO occurred. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for AO, when comparing the highest and lowest quartiles of the 5-CNS DI, were 2.45 (1.17-5.14), with a p-value for trend of 0.035. In sensitivity analyses, the OR was 2.59 (1.22-5.52, p-trend: 0.032) after adjustment for WC at baseline, and 1.75 (0.74-4.18, p-trend: 0.316) after adjustment for ultra-processed food consumption. In conclusion, less favorable food-consumption ratings in the Nutri-Score are associated with incident AO in the elderly. These findings support the use of this FOP system to potentially improve metabolic health.

Spatio-temporal analysis of river flow master recession curve characteristics over Ardabil province rivers

The Master Recession Curve (MRC) is a crucial tool for evaluating, managing, and utilizing rivers, particularly under low-flow conditions. Analyzing changes in the MRC of river flow is useful for water resource planning, surface water utilization, and estimating and allocating environmental flow. This study utilized daily flow data from rivers in Ardabil province, Iran over a 48-year statistical period (1970–2015). The Visual Basic program was utilized to estimate the equations and coefficients of recession curves. The trends of the constant and slope coefficients of the MRC equations were determined using the Mann-Kendall test and linear regression. Higher constant coefficient values were attributed to main rivers with higher discharge (e.g., Borran, Mashiran, and Samian, having 17.98, 13.79, and 5.64 cms, respectively. The slope of the MRC in most of the rivers in the central part of the study area exhibited a decreasing trend (p-value<0.05), which attributed to climate change, alterations in precipitation patterns, reduced rainfall/snowmelt, and water abstraction leading to less water input during non-flood periods. Additionally, most rivers in different climatic regions and areas of the study region exhibited an increasing trend (p-value<0.05) in the MRC constants, indicating reduced groundwater recharge or increased groundwater abstraction, as a common issue in the Ardabil province. Moreover, human water use and reservoir regulation (Yamci, Sabalan, Saghezchi, Givi, and small regulating reservoirs) can influence river flow patterns during non-flood periods. The occurrence of droughts and intensified surface water use by farmers, as well as unauthorized extraction of water from wells, have exacerbated this trend.

Investigating the mortality trend of gastrointestinal cancers in Babol, North Iran (2013–2021)

Background and aimThis study aims to examine the mortality rate and trend of gastrointestinal cancers, particularly gastric cancer, as the leading cause of death among cancers in northern Iran over a 9-year period. In light of the changing incidence and mortality rates of cancer in Iran and around the world, the importance of these diseases in people’s lives, and the necessity of updating and monitoring the trend of cancer mortality, we have decided to report on the mortality trend of gastrointestinal cancers, based on crude and age-standardized rates.MethodThis study is a cross-sectional examination of deaths caused by gastrointestinal cancers in Babol city, Iran, between 2013 and 2021. Data was collected from the cause of death registration and classification system of Babol University of Medical Sciences. Population estimation was obtained from the latest census reports. The crude and age-standardized mortality rates and trends of the cancers were calculated.ResultsOverall, there were 1345 deaths from gastrointestinal cancers with an average age of 69.11 ± 14.25 years. The crude and age-standardized rates of these cancers rose from 24.1 to 20.1 per hundred thousand people in 2012 to 29.5 and 25.5 per hundred thousand people, respectively. This trend became more prevalent significantly with the increase of each decade of age for both men (P-value Trend = 0.002) and women (P-value Trend = 0.012). An analysis of gastrointestinal cancers revealed a decreasing trend for cancers of the small intestine, an increasing trend for cancers of the colon, pancreas, and gallbladder, and a stable trend for the remaining cancers over the study period.ConclusionThe age-standardized rate and the number of gastrointestinal cancers is rising, highlighting the importance of preventative measures such as screening, increasing public awareness, and appropriate diagnostic methods.

Trends in Presumed Drug Overdose Out-Of-Hospital Cardiac Arrests in San Francisco, 2015-2023

IntroductionEstimates of the prevalence of drug-related out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) vary, ranging from 1.8 – 10.0% of medical OHCA. However, studies conducted prior to the recent wave of fentanyl deaths likely underestimate the current prevalence of drug-related OHCA. We evaluated recent trends in drug-related OHCA, hypothesizing that the proportion of presumed drug-related OHCA treated by emergency medical services (EMS) has increased since 2015. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of OHCA patients treated by EMS providers in San Francisco, California between 2015 - 2023. Participants included OHCA cases in which resuscitation was attempted by EMS. The study exposure was the year of arrest. Our primary outcome was the occurrence of drug-related OHCA, defined as the EMS impression of OHCA caused by a presumed or known overdose of medication(s) or drug(s). ResultsFrom 2015 to 2023, 5044 OHCA resuscitations attended by EMS (average 561 per year) met inclusion criteria. The median age was 65 (IQR 50-79); 3508 (69.6%) were male. The EMS impression of arrest etiology was drug-related in 446/5044 (8.8%) of OHCA. The prevalence of presumed drug-related OHCA increased significantly each year from 1% in 2015 to 17.6% in 2023 (p-value for trend = 0.0001). After adjustment, presumed drug-related OHCA increased by 30% each year from 2015-2023. ConclusionDrug-related OHCA is an increasingly common etiology of OHCA. In 2023, one in six OHCA was presumed to be drug related. Among participants less than 60 years old, one in three OHCA was presumed to be drug related.

Investigation of occupational risk factors for the development of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in adults: A hospital-based case-control study.

Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma (NHL) is a malignancy of the lymphoid lineage of the hematopoietic system has worldwide, especially in developed countries. Better diagnostic and recording techniques, longer life expectancy, and greater exposure to risk factors are hypotheses for this growing incidence curve. Occupational exposures to chemical, biological, and physical agents have also been associated with NHL development, but the results are still controversial. We have investigated the occupational and lifestyle case-control study design with 214 adult patients and 452 population controls. Socio-demographic, clinical, and occupational exposure data were obtained through individual interviews with a standardized questionnaire. Clinical, laboratory, and histopathological data were obtained through medical records. Risk of NHL (any subtype), B-cell lymphoma, DLBCL, Follicular lymphoma and T-cell lymphoma was elevated among the those who had ever been exposed to any solvents, hydrocarbon solvents, pesticides, meat and meat products, and sunlight and tended to increase by years of exposure. A significant upward trend with years of exposure was detected for any solvents and hydrocarbon solvents (NHL (any subtype) p-value for trend<0.001), B-cell lymphoma (p-value for trend<0.001), and T-cell lymphoma (p-value for trend<0.023), pesticides (NHL (any subtype), p for trend<0.001) and T-cell lymphoma (p for trend<0.002), meat and meat products (NHL (any subtype) (p for trend<0.001) and DLBCL (p for trend<0.001), and sunlight (B-cell lymphoma (p for trend<0.001). The results of this study agree line with other international studies, can be extrapolated to other countries that have the same socio-demographic and occupational characteristics as Brazil and support strategies for surveillance and control of work-related cancer.

Rural-urban disparities and trends in utilization of palliative care services among US patients with metastatic breast cancer.

To assess trends and rural-urban disparities in palliative care utilization among patients with metastatic breast cancer. We analyzed data from the 2004-2019 National Cancer Database. Palliative care services, including surgery, radiotherapy, systemic therapy, and/or other pain management, were provided to control pain or alleviate symptoms; utilization was dichotomized as "yes/no." Rural-urban residence, defined by the US Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service's Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, was categorized as "rural/urban/metropolitan." Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine rural-urban differences in palliative care use. Adjusted odds ratios (AORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Of 133,500 patients (mean age 62.4 [SD=14.2] years), 86.7%, 11.7%, and 1.6% resided in metropolitan, urban, and rural areas, respectively; 72.5% were White, 17.0% Black, 5.8% Hispanic, and 2.7% Asian. Overall, 20.3% used palliative care, with a significant increase from 15.6% in 2004-2005 to 24.5% in 2008-2019 (7.0% increase per year; p-value for trend <0.001). In urban areas, 23.3% received palliative care, compared to 21.0% in rural and 19.9% in metropolitan areas (p<0.001). After covariate adjustment, patients residing in rural (AOR=0.84; 95% CI: 0.73-0.98) or metropolitan (AOR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.80-0.89) areas had lower odds of having used palliative care than those in urban areas. In this national, racially diverse sample of patients with metastatic breast cancer, the utilization of palliative care services increased over time, though remained suboptimal. Further, our findings highlight rural-urban disparities in palliative care use and suggest the potential need to promote these services while addressing geographic access inequities for this patient population.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease biomarkers estimate cardiovascular risk based on coronary artery calcium score in type 2 diabetes: a cross-sectional study with two independent cohorts

BackgroundStudies have demonstrated that coronary artery calcification on one hand and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on the other hand are strongly associated with cardiovascular events. However, it remains unclear whether NAFLD biomarkers could help estimate cardiovascular risk in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). The primary objective of the present study was to investigate whether the biomarkers of NAFLD included in the FibroMax® panels are associated with the degree of coronary artery calcification in patients with T2D.MethodsA total of 157 and 460 patients with T2D were included from the DIACART and ACCoDiab cohorts, respectively. The coronary artery calcium score (CACS) was measured in both cohorts using computed tomography. FibroMax® panels (i.e., SteatoTest®, FibroTest®, NashTest®, and ActiTest®) were determined from blood samples as scores and stages in the DIACART cohort and as stages in the ACCoDiab cohort.ResultsCACS significantly increased with the FibroTest® stages in both the DIACART and ACCoDiab cohorts (p-value for trend = 0.0009 and 0.0001, respectively). In DIACART, the FibroTest® score was positively correlated with CACS in univariate analysis (r = 0.293, p = 0.0002) and remained associated with CACS independently of the traditional cardiovascular risk factors included in the SCORE2-Diabetes model [β = 941 ± 425 (estimate ± standard error), p = 0.028]. In the ACCoDiab cohort, the FibroTest® F3-F4 stage was positively correlated with CACS in point-biserial analysis (rpbi = 0.104, p = 0.024) and remained associated with CACS after adjustment for the traditional cardiovascular risk factors included in the SCORE2-Diabetes model (β = 234 ± 97, p = 0.016). Finally, the prediction of CACS was improved by adding FibroTest® to the traditional cardiovascular risk factors included in the SCORE2-Diabetes model (goodness-of-fit of prediction models multiplied by 4.1 and 6.7 in the DIACART and ACCoDiab cohorts, respectively). In contrast, no significant relationship was found between FibroMax® panels other than FibroTest® and CACS in either cohort.ConclusionsFibroTest® is independently and positively associated with the degree of coronary artery calcification in patients with T2D, suggesting that FibroTest® could be a relevant biomarker of coronary calcification and cardiovascular risk.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers NCT02431234 and NCT03920683.

Association between metformin use and the risk of developing open-angle glaucoma among patients with diabetes: a retrospective cohort study and meta-analysis.

Recent studies examining the neuroprotective effects of metformin on open-angle glaucoma (OAG) have failed to provide consistent results. In this study, we investigated the association between metformin use and OAG. Data were obtained from a sample cohort of the Korean National Health Insurance database. Patients diagnosed with type-2 diabetes (T2DM) between 2004 and 2013 were included. We performed propensity score-matched analysis in a matched cohort (N = 20,646). The risk of the newly developed OAG was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Including the present study, the meta-analysis included five studies to calculate the pooled risk for OAG based on metformin use. In the adjusted model, the analysis revealed no statistical association between metformin use and OAG incidence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-1.40; P = 0.738). The highest tercile of metformin use demonstrated no statistical significance (HR 0.93 [95% CI 0.63-1.37]; P = 0.703). No significant dose-dependent association was observed between the cumulative dose and incidence of OAG (P-value for trend = 0.336). In a meta-analysis of four published articles and the present study, the common-effects and random-effects models indicated conflicting results in terms of significance. The random effects model demonstrated no significant association (pooled risk ratio 0.53; 95% CI 0.24-1.19; P = 0.123). We found no significant association between metformin use and OAG incidence in patients with T2DM in this population-based cohort study and meta-analysis. Further studies are needed to investigate the association between metformin use and the risk of OAG among patients with T2DM.

Prevalence and Obstetric Management Changes During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Peripartum SARS-CoV-2-Positive Women - an Analysis of the CRONOS Registry Data.

The analysis of CRONOS data for this article presents the infection prevalence among parturients and subsequent changes in obstetric management over time in Germany. 2,184 women with peripartum SARS-CoV-2 infection (<14d before birth) were included. Monthly period prevalence was calculated using the number of affected women on the CRONOS registry relative to total monthly births in each hospital from March 2020 to May 2022 and compared to RKI data. Trends related to changes in obstetric management were calculated based on severity of illness. By June 2021, the obstetric population shows a discretely higher infection prevalence compared to the general population, falling below the RKI reported prevalence by October 2021. The overall rate of iatrogenic deliveries remains unchanged over time (p-value for trend=0.779). During wave 1 to 4, deliveries due to SARS-CoV-2 infection rose among moderately to severely ill women (p-value for trend 0.0000) and was increased compared to moderately ill women (p=0.001). We showed that comprehensive screening provides timely information on infection prevalence. Recruitment fatigue caused by higher clinician workload due to increased admissions and more cases with severe illness probably caused reduced prevalence reporting. Changes in obstetric management were related to COVID-19 symptom severity. A comprehensive national perinatal registry is needed to examine other areas of perinatal care in Germany.

Prognostic value of DNA methylation subclassification, aneuploidy, and CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion in predicting clinical outcome of IDH mutant astrocytomas.

IDH mutant astrocytoma grading, until recently, has been entirely based on morphology. The 5th edition of the Central Nervous System WHO introduces CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion as a biomarker of grade 4. We sought to investigate the prognostic impact of DNA methylation-derived molecular biomarkers for IDH mutant astrocytoma. We analyzed 98 IDH mutant astrocytomas diagnosed at NYU Langone Health between 2014 and 2022. We reviewed DNA methylation subclass, CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion, and ploidy and correlated molecular biomarkers with histological grade, progression free (PFS), and overall (OS) survival. Findings were confirmed using two independent validation cohorts. There was no significant difference in OS or PFS when stratified by histologic WHO grade alone, copy number complexity, or extent of resection. OS was significantly different when patients were stratified either by CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion or by DNA methylation subclass (p-value=0.0286 and 0.0016, respectively). None of the molecular biomarkers were associated with significantly better progression free survival (PFS), although DNA methylation classification showed a trend (p-value= 0.0534). The current WHO recognized grading criteria for IDH mutant astrocytomas show limited prognostic value. Stratification based on DNA methylation shows superior prognostic value for OS.

GIS-based geospatial analysis of COVID-19 in southern India

ABSTRACT The general objective of this study was to compare first and second wave of the COVID - 19 - epidemic at district level in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka, the southern states of India. To achieve this, four specific objectives were set. COVID19-India API dataset was used to meet the objectives. To analyse the space time pattern, space time cube was created and statistically significant emerging hot spots were identified using space time cube as input. To model spatially varying relationships cases during second were given as dependent variable and cases during first wave were set as Explanatory Variables. The results obtained from space time cube for the first wave shows the overall increasing trend direction for conformed cases (trend statistics = 4.4572, Trend p-value = 0.000) and for death cases (trend statistics = 4.3201, Trend p-value = 0.000). In case of second wave the overall increasing trend direction was for conformed cases (trend statistics = 6.3112, Trend p-value = 0.000) and for death cases (trend statistics = 6.2508, Trend p-value = 0.000). Emerging Hot Spot Analysis shows in case of first wave 19 consecutive and 02 new hot spots of confirmed cases and 12 consecutive and 01 new hot spot of deaths cases. Moreover, in case of second wave 29 consecutive and 03 new hot spots were found of confirmed cases and 12 consecutive and 04 new hot spots were found of deaths cases. The results of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) linear regression show the strong positive relationship in between both the variables in confirmed as well as death cases. In case of confirmed cases there were 15 districts below - 0.5 Std. Dev (standard deviation) and 16 districts above + 0.5 Std. Deviation. In case of death cases there were 06 districts below - 0.5 Std. Dev (standard deviation) and 07 districts above + 0.5 Std. Deviation. The Spatial Pattern of the residuals of confirmed and death cases were found statistically significant and highly clustered. Results indicate the districts having high urban agglomeration in Kerala, Karnataka and parts of the Tamil Nadu got successive high no. of COVID – 19 confirmed cases and death cases.

Declining Prevalence of Trichomonas vaginalis Diagnosed by Wet Mount in a Cohort of U.S. Women With and Without HIV.

Background: Women living with HIV (WLWH) are often coinfected with Trichomonas vaginalis (TV), and annual screening is recommended. Our goal was to assess differences in TV prevalence at study entry and over time in enrollment cohorts of the Women's Interagency HIV Study. Methods: In a multisite study, TV was diagnosed by wet mount microscopy. Prevalence was determined across four enrollment waves: 1994-1995, 2001-2002, 2011-2012, and 2013-2015. Generalized estimating equation multivariable logistic regression models assessed changes in visit prevalence across waves after controlling for HIV disease severity and other risks. Results: At 63,824 person-visits (3,508 WLWH and 1,262 women without HIV), TV was diagnosed by wet mount at 1979 visits (3.1%). After multivariable adjustment, HIV status was not associated with TV detection, which was more common among younger women, women with multiple partners, and irregular condom use. All enrollment waves showed a decline in TV detection over time, although p-value for trend did not reach significance for most recent waves. To explore the potential utility of screening among WLWH, we assessed rates of TV detection among women without appreciable vaginal discharge on examination. Initial TV prevalence among asymptomatic women was 3.5%, and prevalence decreased to 0.5%-1% in the most recent wave (2013-2015) (p-trend <0.0001). Conclusions: In this cohort, TV rates are low among WLWH, and HIV does not increase TV risk. Screening may benefit newly diagnosed WLWH, women with risk factors, or those receiving care sporadically but is unlikely to further reduce the low rate of TV among women in care, especially older women without multiple partners. The clinical trials registration number for WIHS is NCT00000797.

Spatial distribution and temporal trends of tuberculosis case notifications, Uganda: a ten-year retrospective analysis (2013–2022)

BackgroundUganda has a high incidence and prevalence of tuberculosis (TB). Analysis of spatial and temporal distribution of TB is an important tool for supporting spatial decision-making, planning, and policy formulations; however, this information is not readily available in Uganda. We determined the spatial distribution and temporal trends of tuberculosis notifications in Uganda, 2013–2022.MethodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis of routinely-generated program data reported through the National TB and Leprosy Programme (NTLP) surveillance system. We abstracted data on all TB cases diagnosed from 2013 to 2022 by district and region. We drew choropleth maps for Uganda showing the TB case notification rates (CNR) per 100,000 and calculated the CNR using the cases per district as the numerator and individual district populations as the denominators. Population estimates were obtained from the 2014 National Population and Housing Census, and a national growth rate of 3% was used to estimate the annual population increase.ResultsOver the entire study period, 568,957 cases of TB were reported in Uganda. There was a 6% annual increase in TB CNR reported from 2013 (134/100,000) to 2022 (213/100,000) (p-value for trend p < 0.00001). Cases were reported from all 12 Ministry of Health regions during the entire period. The distribution of CNR was heterogeneous throughout the country and over time. Moroto, Napak and Kampala districts had consistently high CNR throughout the ten years. Kalangala district had lower CNR from 2013 to 2018 but high CNR from 2019 to 2022. Moroto region, in the northeast, had consistently high CNR while Mbale and Soroti regions in Eastern Uganda had the lowest CNR throughout the ten years.ConclusionThere was an overall increasing trend in TB CNR from 2013 to 2022. We recommend that the National TB program institutes intensified measures aided by more funding to mitigate and reverse the negative impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on TB.

Radiation Dose Does Not Affect the Predictive Value of Thyroid Biopsy for Diagnosing Papillary Thyroid Cancer in a Belarusian Cohort Exposed to Chernobyl Fallout.

The Chernobyl nuclear accident exposed residents of contaminated territories to substantial quantities of radioiodines and was followed by an increase in thyroid cancer, primarily papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), among exposed children and adolescents. Although thyroid biopsy is an essential component of screening programs following accidental exposure to radioiodines, it is unknown whether the predictive value of biopsy is affected by different levels of environmental exposure. A cohort of 11,732 Belarusians aged ≤18 years at the time of the Chernobyl accident with individual thyroid radiation dose estimates was screened at least once 11-22 years later. Paired cytologic conclusions and histopathologic diagnoses were possible for 258 thyroid nodules from 238 cohort members. Cytologic conclusions were divided into five reporting categories, with all follicular lesion aspirates combined into a single indeterminate category. Standard performance indicators, risk of malignancy (ROM), and odds ratios for a correct cytologic conclusion were calculated, both overall and according to quintile of thyroid radiation dose. The arithmetic mean thyroid dose estimate for the study group was 1.73 Gy (range: 0.00-23.64 Gy). The final histopathologic diagnosis was cancer for 136 of 258 biopsies (52.7%; 135 papillary and 1 follicular). The overall ROM was 96.7% for cytologies definite for PTC, 83.7% for suspicious for PTC, 33.0% for indeterminate, 8.1% for benign, and 31.0% for non-diagnostic. The ROM showed little change according to level of radiation exposure. Overall, there was no association between thyroid radiation dose and the odds ratio for a correct cytologic conclusion (p = 0.24). When analyzed according to dose quintile, the odds ratio for a correct conclusion increased two-fold at 0.10-0.29 Gy compared to a dose of 0.00-0.09 Gy and decreased at doses of 0.3-24 Gy (p value for linear trend = 0.99). At radiation doses received by a cohort of young Belarusians exposed to radioiodines by the Chernobyl accident, the predictive value of thyroid biopsy for diagnosing PTC was not significantly affected by level of radiation exposure.

The urinary level of 2,4,5-trichlorophenol was positively associated with both all-cause and cause-specific mortalities in general adult residents of United States

Chlorophenols are widespread environmental organic pollutants with harmful effects on human beings. Although relationships between chlorophenols and various dysfunctions/diseases have been reported, the contribution of chlorophenols exposure to mortalities is underdetermined. In this cohort study, we included 4 types of urinary chlorophenols, aiming to estimate associations of chlorophenols exposure with all-cause and cause-specific mortalities. Urinary chlorophenols were examined at baseline of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2003–2010, and adjusted for the urinary creatinine level. Associations between chlorophenols and mortalities were estimated using COX regression analyses, results were shown as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). By dividing participants into four subgroups based on quartiles of urinary levels of chlorophenols, associations between mortalities and categorical variables of chlorophenols were estimated. Furthermore, the quantile g-computation analysis was used to estimate the joint effects of 4 chlorophenols on mortalities. Among 5817 adults (2863 men), 1034 were deceased during the follow-up. After adjusted for confounders, 2,4,5-trichlorophenol (2,4,5-TCP) was found to be positively associated with both all-cause (HR = 1.46; 95% CI: 1.16, 1.84) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortalities (HR = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.00, 2.55). Compared to the subgroup of the lowest level of chlorophenols, participants in subgroups of higher 2,4,5-TCP levels showed higher risk of all-cause mortality (P-value for trend = 0.003). For CVD mortality, HRs in subgroups of higher levels of 2,4-dichlorophenol (2,4-DCP) and 2,4,6-trichlorophenol (2,4,6-TCP) were statistically significant (P-values for trend were 0.017 for 2,4-DCP and 0.049 for 2,4,6-TCP). The HRs (95% CI) of joint effects of 4 chlorophenols were 1.11 (1.01, 1.21) and 1.32 (1.10, 1.57) for all-cause and CVD-specific mortalities, and 2,4,5-TCP showed the highest weight in joint effects. All of these findings implied that among 4 urinary chlorophenols we included, 2,4,5-TCP might be a sensitive one in associations with mortalities among general populations.

Colon and Rectal Surgery Fellowship Applicant and Matching Trends in the United States: An Analysis of National Resident Matching Program Data.

Colon and Rectal Surgery fellowships are training programs that aim to train surgeons in the management of small bowel, colon, rectal, and anal pathologies. We investigated trends in Colon and Rectal Surgery fellowship match to help applicants anticipate future fellowship application cycles. This was a retrospective cohort study of applicants in the Colon and Rectal Surgery match from 2009 to 2023. Proportion of positions filled, match rates, and rank-order lists were collected. The impact of US-MD, non-US-MD, and DO status on match rate was assessed. We used the Mann Kendall trend test to obtain tau statistic and P-value for temporal trends over time, while associations between categorical variables were investigated by a chi-square test. Fellowship programs increased from 43 to 67, positions increased from 78 to 110, and number of applicants rose from 113 to 135. Nearly all positions were filled from 2009 to 2023 (range: 96.3%-100%). The overall match rate fluctuated between 67.3% and 80.7%. The match rate over the past 5years was 72.0%. The match rate for US-MDs was 80.0%, while non-US-MDs had a 56.2% match rate. The percentage matching at each rank were first choice 28.0%, second choice 10.4%, third choice 6.9%, and fourth choice or lower 23.5%. Despite an increase in Colon and Rectal Surgery fellowship positions, the overall match rate has not changed significantly over the years, mainly as a result of increased applicants.

Abstract B053: Rural-urban disparities in cancer risk factors and screening by United States census region

Abstract We examined rural-urban differences in the prevalence of cancer risk factors and screening behaviors across U.S. census regions to better understand variations within and between geographic regions and inform strategies to address rural cancer inequities. Using an ecological cross-sectional design, we examined rural-urban differences in the self-reported prevalence of county-level cancer risk factors (i.e., obesity, physical inactivity, alcohol consumption) and cancer screening behaviors (i.e., breast, colorectal and cervical) ascertained from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and National Health Interview Survey (2008-2013) across four U.S. census regions (Northeast, Midwest, South, and West).  County-level rurality was defined using 2013 U.S. Office of Management and Budget rural-urban classification codes, and the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service’s rural-urban continuum codes.  Chi-square tests assessed differences in the mean prevalence of county-level cancer risk factors and cancer screening behaviors in each geographic region.  Analysis of variance (ANOVA) models estimated the p-values for trends in cancer risk factors and screening prevalence across the rural-urban continuum. Within each geographic region, rural counties had a higher prevalence of smoking, obesity and physical inactivity.  Yet, rural-urban differences in cancer risk factors were not statistically significant in all geographic regions (e.g., prevalence of obesity for Western rural vs. urban counties was 26.5% vs. 25.7% [p=0.08] and physical inactivity for Northeastern rural vs. urban counties was 23.2% vs. 22.5% [p=0.15]).  Moreover, the mean prevalence of obesity was higher in urban areas of the Midwest (31%) and South (31.3%) compared to rural areas in the West (26.5%) and Northeast (29.5%).  Binge alcohol use was higher in rural vs. urban counties in the West (19.8% vs. 17.7%; p&amp;lt;0.001) and Midwest (22.3% vs. 21.5%; p=0.006), but lower in the South (13.5% vs. 15.2%; p&amp;lt;0.001).  Obesity and smoking prevalence increased with increasing rurality across all regions (ptrend&amp;lt;0.045).  Breast, cervical and colorectal cancer screening prevalence were lower in rural vs. urban counties in each geographic region (all p-values&amp;lt;0.04).  However, the overall prevalence of screening across all cancer sites was higher in rural Northeast counties compared to both rural and urban counties in the South and West regions.   Across all regions, cervical and breast cancer screening decreased with increasing rurality (all ptrend&amp;lt;0.001).  A significant inverse trend in prevalence of colorectal cancer screening with increasing rurality was observed in all regions except the Northeast (ptrend=0.17). Our findings suggest notable variations in rural-urban cancer risk factors and screening disparities across U.S. geographic regions.  Further exploration of the source of this geographic variation is warranted to ensure the development and implementation of relevant cancer control interventions targeting rural populations most in need. Citation Format: Kelly A. Hirko, Huiwen Xu, Laura Q. Rogers, Michelle Y. Martin, Siddhartha Roy, Kimberly M. Kelly, Shannon M. Christy, Kimlin Tam Ashing, Jean C. Yi, Marquita W. Lewis-Thames, Cathy D. Meade, Qian Lu, Clement K. Gwede, Rachel M. Ceballos, Usha Menon, Katie Cueva, Karen Yeary, Lisa Klesges, Monica L. Baskin, Kassandra I. Alcaraz, Sabrina Ford. Rural-urban disparities in cancer risk factors and screening by United States census region [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 16th AACR Conference on the Science of Cancer Health Disparities in Racial/Ethnic Minorities and the Medically Underserved; 2023 Sep 29-Oct 2;Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2023;32(12 Suppl):Abstract nr B053.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Positive Health among older adults in relation to the complexity of health problems.

The broad concept of health as "the ability to adapt and self-manage in the face of social, physical and emotional challenges" has been operationalized by "Positive Health," a framework increasingly used in the Netherlands. We explored to what degree the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and preventive measures on Positive Health differed between community-dwelling older adults without, with mild and with complex health problems, as well as differences flowing from their use of preventive measures. During the second wave in the Netherlands (November 2020-February 2021), a convenience sample of adults aged ≥65 years completed an online questionnaire. Positive Health impact was measured based on self-reported change of current health status, across six dimensions, compared to before the pandemic (decreased/unchanged/increased). The complexity of health problems (past month) was assessed using the validated ISCOPE tool, comparing subgroups without, with mild or with complex health problems. High use of preventive measures was defined as ≥9 of 13 measures and compared to low use (<9 measures). Of the 2397 participants (median age 71 years, 60% female, and 4% previous COVID-19 infection), 31% experienced no health problems, 55% mild health problems, and 15% complex health problems. Overall, participants reported a median decrease in one Positive Health dimension (IQR 1-3), most commonly in social participation (68%). With an increasing complexity of health problems, subjective Positive Health declined more often across all six dimensions, ranging from 3.3% to 57% in those without, from 22% to 72% in those with mild, and from 47% to 75% in those with complex health problems (p-values for trend <0.001; independent of age and sex). High users of preventive measures more often experienced declined social participation (72% vs. 62%, p < 0.001) and a declined quality of life (36% vs. 30%, p = 0.007) than low users, especially those with complex health problems. As the complexity of health problems increased, the adverse impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and related preventive measures was experienced more frequently across all dimensions of Positive Health. Acknowledging this heterogeneity is pivotal to the effective targeting of prevention and healthcare to those most in need.